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Archive for the ‘Texas governor election 2014’ Category

The ’20 weeks’ lady lost by 20 points

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Written by scantojr

November 7, 2014 at 6:00 am


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Written by scantojr

October 30, 2014 at 7:00 pm

I just voted for Mr Abbott for governor!

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As I have done since 1988, when I stood in a long line for hours to vote for VP Bush for president, I cast my ballot early. 

I voted for AG Abbott for governor and the GOP ticket.   Frankly, the Texas Democrat party has become way too liberal for me.   Once upon a time, you could vote for a centrist Democrat, like the late Senator Bentsen.   Frankly, those were the days as the song goes.    

According to news reports, early voting is going well for the GOP but please vote!  

Don’t take anything for granted and vote! 

Written by scantojr

October 28, 2014 at 1:30 pm

Texas Update: Abbott Up 20 in a New Poll

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As I suspected, AG Abbott is opening up a big lead against Sen. Davis, the Democrat candidate: 57-37%, or 20 points!

The poll is fascinating when you look at the internals:

AG Abbott leads among women (52-40%) and whites (70-25%) and is doing very well with Hispanics (43% to Davis 49%).    

He leads in “other ethnic” groups by 52-37%.  I’m not sure what that is or what percentage of the voting bloc they represent.    

I would argue that Miss Davis is underperforming with blacks at only 80%.  Her position on abortion could be hurting her with blacks in Texas.

This poll shows the biggest lead but is in line with others recently published: the RCP average is Abbott plus 14%.

As I’ve been saying, AG Abbott will win by about 15 points – a nice solid victory that reflects the state’s conservative values.  Furthermore, it also points out what a weak opponent Senator Davis is.  It’s hard to believe that Texas Democrats could not find a more centrist candidate who could appeal to suburban voters.

Last, but not least, a friend working in the “early election” stations told me that the GOP traffic has been very heavy so far.  It’s unscientific but has been reliable in the past about voter intensity.

P.S. You can hear CANTO TALK here & follow me on Twitter @ scantojr.


Written by scantojr

October 28, 2014 at 6:30 am

The 2014 Texas elections with George Rodriguez from South Texas.

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Written by scantojr

October 7, 2014 at 9:00 pm

Keep an Eye on the Hispanic Vote in Texas

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Written by scantojr

October 5, 2014 at 6:00 am

Wendy Davis is a liberal in a very conservative state

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They had “a governor debate” on Friday evening but most people in Texas were following high school football. 

 The Abbott-Davis race looks more and more like a GOP landslide.  

At this point, the question is whether Miss Davis loses by 10 or 20 points!   She could get 45% if there is a heavy Democrat turnout.  

She may sink under 40% if the GOP turnout is as expected across Texas.
Frankly, Miss Davis is one very liberal candidate in a very conservative state, as Dan Balz described Texas:

“In November, Texas voters could elect the most conservative ticket of statewide officials in the state’s history.
Grass-roots activists are even more conservative, as evidenced by the state GOP platform that was produced earlier this summer.”  
The bottom line is that Texas is a very conservative GOP, as Mr Balz indicates.
AG Abbott will replace Gov Perry and State Sen Patrick will replace Lt Gov Dewhurst.  

Both men are more conservative than the two men they will be replacing.
How far will this Texas conservative movement go?  Will the “Texas way” reach Washington DC?  We will learn that in 2016 if Sen Cruz and Gov Perry seek the nomination.
In the meantime, Miss Davis continues to portray the GOP as anti-woman, anti-poor and anti-just about everything.  On November, the voters are very likely to say that they are anti-Davis, or more specifically anti-liberal.
P. S. You can hear CANTO TALK here & follow me on Twitter @ scantojr.


Written by scantojr

September 22, 2014 at 7:01 am