TALK & OPINIONS BY SILVIO CANTO JR.

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Archive for May 2018

Brazil: Bring back the generals, or something like that

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Not long ago, Brazil was run by a military junta.  Then came a democracy, the expansion of the central government, crony capitalism, and corruption.  All of a sudden, one of the largest-GDP nations in the world looks as dysfunctional as any other.

So what do you do when elected leaders can’t keep the streets safe or give you economic growth?

Some Brazilians are yearning for law and order or “el hombre fuerte,” which is a syndrome all over the pages of Latin American history.

This is an update from Brazil, from The Guardian:

Hundreds of truckers and their supporters had gathered at a gas station on a highway near São Paulo, for a rally in support of a nationwide protest that has brought South America’s biggest economy to its knees.

 

But among the slogans and Brazilian flags were signs not usually seen at strike demonstrations: slung from a nearby overpass were banners calling for “military intervention”, a sign that this shutdown has taken on a political dimension all of its own.

As a nationwide truck strike reaches its 10th day, gas stations have finally begun to receive fuel deliveries and truckers have started drifting back to work – some unwillingly.

But hundreds of demonstrations have continued on highways across Brazil – and many of those still protesting are calling for a return to the rightwing dictatorship that ran Brazil for two sombre decades until 1985.

Look before you leap is my message to Brazilians.

Unlike Chile’s General Augusto Pinochet, a man who made his country the economic envy of the Third World, most Latin American military leaders clean up the streets, crack a few heads, make the trains run on time, and then collapse from corruption or abuse of power.

Or as my late father used to say, they bring “order” and forget “law.”  In other words, order without law is a problem, too.

My good guess is that there won’t be a junta in Brazil’s future.  The country is so messed up that the military wants no part of it, unless things get so out of hand that the military has no choice.

At the same time, you can’t blame the people of Brazil for wanting something better.

PS: You can listen to my show (Canto Talk) and follow me on Twitter.

 

Written by scantojr

May 31, 2018 at 6:58 am

Posted in US politics

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Lopez-Obrador moving up in Mexico, Brazil chaos and the Roseanne controversy

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We look at the Roseanne Barr controversy or a lot of nothing about nothing…….New poll shows Lopez-Obrador leading by big margin…….Brazilians call for military takeover…….Lincoln Memorial 1922…..Indianapolis 500 started 1911……Mickey Mantle longest HR in 1956…….and others stories…………

Click to listen:

//percolate.blogtalkradio.com/offsiteplayer?hostId=4735&episodeId=10804141

Source: Lopez-Obrador moving up in Mexico, Brazil chaos and the Roseanne controversy 05/30 by Silvio Canto Jr | News Podcasts

Written by scantojr

May 30, 2018 at 5:00 pm

Some thoughts about Lopez-Obrador & Mexico

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The latest news from Mexico is thatSr. Lopez-Obrador is increasing his lead and referred to as a “Tropical Messiah“.   

As The WSJ wrote today:   

“If Mr. López Obrador is sworn in as president—this time for real—it isn’t entirely clear which man will turn up. 
Many fear it will be the fervent social activist with an authoritarian streak who sees the country divided in two camps, what he calls a “mafia of the powerful” against Mexico’s “good and honest people.” 
Others hope it will be the López Obrador who as Mexico City mayor proved to be a pragmatic manager, joining with telecom magnate Carlos Slim to restore down-at-the-heels neighborhoods.”

Time will tell but it looks likely that LO will be the one sworn in.     I do caution that polls are polls as we learned in the US in 2016!

What does that mean for the people invested in LO’s message?   My guess is that major disenchantment lies ahead and whatever political consequences come with it.

It’s not too late for Mr. Anaya, Mr. Meade & “El Bronco” to consider their options.   It may be good for the country for them to unite and give the Mexican people one real alternative against Mr. LO.

PS: You can listen to my show (Canto Talk) and follow me on Twitter.

Written by scantojr

May 30, 2018 at 2:15 pm

Wednesday’s video: The Roseanne scandal is much about nothing

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May 30, 2018 at 1:45 pm

1922: The Lincoln Memorial

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On May 30, 1922, The Lincoln Memorial was dedicated.   It was 57 years after Lincoln died.      
According to news reports, about 50,000 people attended the ceremonies, including Civil War veterans and Robert Todd Lincoln, the president’s only surviving son. 
 
President Warren Harding, former President William Howard Taft, and Dr. Robert Moton, principal of the Tuskegee Institute, delivered the keynote address.
 
It is one of the top historical landmarks of Washington, DC:

 

Written by scantojr

May 30, 2018 at 11:02 am

Posted in US politics

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Upcoming elections in Colombia and Mexico

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By July 15, we will know who will be the next presidents of Mexico and Colombia.  Americans usually don’t care about these elections, but 2018 may be one of those years when results matter in two of the largest GDPs in Latin America.

Let’s go to Colombia.

The first round is over in Colombia, and here is where we are:

With 98 percent of the votes counted, conservative 41-year-old Iván Duque nailed down 39 percent of the vote, according to Colombia’s national electoral agency. 

He was followed by the progressive 58-year-old economist and ex-mayor of Bogotá, Gustavo Petro, with 25 percent.

Duque is in a strong position for round 2, but 36%, the ones who did not vote for #1 or #2, will now have to choose between the two finalists.

I am not familiar with the other candidates and whom they will endorse.

Nevertheless, this is now down to Duque and Petro.  The big question is this: which one can persuade a majority of Colombians?

Stay tuned, but I like Duque’s chances.

Down in Mexico, conventional wisdom was that leftist Andrés López-Obrador was going to win.  He may, but don’t bet on that “caballo,” or horse, just yet.

A couple of weeks ago, a Mexican friend explained what he called “Plan B,” an effort for voters to vote for whoever is #2 or rising in the polls.  According to my friend, Mexican voters are planning to wait until the last moment to cast their ballots, when they have a good sense of who is #2.  It is their hope that #2 gets the support of #3 and #4 and overthrow López-Obrador.

“Plan B” may be a Mexican dream, but it appears to be working.  “Número 2,” Ricardo Anaya, a right-center candidate, is gaining and closing the gap against López-Obrador.  The latest polls show that the lead is narrowing:

Less than two months before Mexicans vote, Lopez Obrador’s support grew to 39 percent from 38 percent in the previous poll at the end of March, according to polling firm Parametria, but his lead narrowed to 14 points from 18.

The possibility of a victory by Lopez Obrador, who has threatened changes to the country’s landmark reform to lure private investment to its energy markets, has spooked some investors, helping send the peso currency down more than 3 percent in April.

Support for Ricardo Anaya, the candidate of the “For Mexico in Front” coalition of three parties from the right and left, grew to 25 percent from 20 percent the month before. In a recent TV debate, he portrayed himself as the only alternative to the frontrunner.

So far, Mexicans, specifically the large middle class and business sector, are turning to Anaya as the alternative.

Unlike Colombia, where a runoff is coming between right-center Duque and left-center Gustavo Petro, Mexicans have one chance to stop leftist López-Obrador.

My guess is that Duque will win in Colombia and bring back ex-president Alvaro Uribe’s successful policies.

As for Mexico, I am not sure that Anaya will close the gap, but lots of candles are burning in Mexican homes, hoping it is so.

It would be a great summer for the U.S. if right-center candidates win in Mexico and Colombia!

PS: You can listen to my show (Canto Talk) and follow me on Twitter.

 

Written by scantojr

May 30, 2018 at 7:41 am

Ireland abortion vote, elections in Colombia & Mexico and other stories

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We look at the abortion vote in Ireland and some of the reactions……Presidential elections in Colombia and Mexico……..Wisconsin 1848…….Bob Hope 1903-2003………and others stories………….

Click to listen:

//percolate.blogtalkradio.com/offsiteplayer?hostId=4735&episodeId=10798499

Source: Ireland abortion vote, elections in Colombia & Mexico and other stories 05/29 by Silvio Canto Jr | News Podcasts

Written by scantojr

May 29, 2018 at 5:00 pm