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Archive for June 21st, 2017

70% chance that Nate Silver gets the next one wrong

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A few days ago, Nate Silver gave Democrat candidate Jon Ossoff a 70 percent chance of winning.   On election day, Handel won 52-48%.    

We recall that Nate Silver also gave Mrs. Clinton a 70% chance of winning the 2016 presidential election.    

So I predict that Nate has a 70% chance of getting the next election wrong.     

P.S. You can listen to my show (Canto Talk), (YouTube) and follow me on Twitter.


Written by scantojr

June 21, 2017 at 9:00 pm

Posted in US politics

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The Georgia election aftermath and a few other stories 

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We will look at the Georgia special election and what it means to both parties and specially pollsters…..why not let California become a test case for single payer insurance… may show that such an idea comes with very high taxes…..the US Constitution was ratified in 1788 when New Hampshire voted yes…… other stories…..
Click to listen: 

Source: The Georgia election aftermath and a few other stories 06/21 by Silvio Canto Jr | News Podcasts

Written by scantojr

June 21, 2017 at 9:00 pm

1788: U.S. Constitution ratified

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On this day in 1788, New Hampshire voted “yes” and the US Constitution was ratified:    

On September 17, 1787, after three months of debate moderated by convention president George Washington, the new U.S. constitution, which created a strong federal government with an intricate system of checks and balances, was signed by 38 of the 41 delegates present at the conclusion of the convention.

As dictated by Article VII, the document would not become binding until it was ratified by nine of the 13 states.

Beginning on December 7, five states–Delaware, Pennsylvania, New Jersey, Georgia, and Connecticut–ratified it in quick succession.

However, other states, especially Massachusetts, opposed the document, as it failed to reserve undelegated powers to the states and lacked constitutional protection of basic political rights, such as freedom of speech, religion, and the press.

In February 1788, a compromise was reached under which Massachusetts and other states would agree to ratify the document with the assurance that amendments would be immediately proposed.

The Constitution was thus narrowly ratified in Massachusetts, followed by Maryland and South Carolina.

On June 21, 1788, New Hampshire became the ninth state to ratify the document, and it was subsequently agreed that government under the U.S. Constitution would begin on March 4, 1789.

In June, Virginia ratified the Constitution, followed by New York in July.    

So we say thank you to # 9 New Hampshire for making it official many years ago today:


Written by scantojr

June 21, 2017 at 3:30 pm

1940: Richard Nixon & Patricia Ryan were married

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On this day in 1940, future President Richard Nixon married future First Lady Patricia Ryan.  

Nixon entered politics in 1946 and won a congressional seat.   He quickly jumped to the US Senate in 1940.   In 1952, General Eisenhower selected Senator Nixon to be his running mate.    As you probably know, the Eisenhower-Nixon ticket won big in 1952 and 1956.      

VP Nixon lost in 1960.   He came back to win in 1968 and was reelected in 1972.  (He carried 49 states and 61% of the popular vote.)    

Pat was with him all the way, from election night victory speeches to resignation in 1974.    

Mrs. Nixon died in 1993 and President Nixon in 1994.

Written by scantojr

June 21, 2017 at 1:30 pm

Posted in US politics

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Happy # 73 Ray Davies

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We salute one of the real characters of pop music, the one and only Ray Davies of The Kinks.

AS I recall, The Kinks released a greatest hits LP back in 1960s.  It is must for anyone who loves the sounds of that era.

Happy # 73.


Written by scantojr

June 21, 2017 at 10:00 am

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Dems need to ask for a refund…..the polls blew GA big time…dead heat but GOP wins 53-47%…..fake polls?

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Written by scantojr

June 21, 2017 at 8:02 am

Posted in US politics

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Let California become our ‘single-payer’ test case

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The ObamaCare repeal debate goes on. We may have a U.S. Senate plan coming out in the next couple of weeks.      

ObamaCare’s implosion is also moving forward: “Iowa’s Last Obamacare Insurer Asks For 43% Rate Increase For 2018”! Wasn’t this thing called the Affordable Health Care Act?

The “single-payer” chorus is also singing 24/7. They argue that a “single-payer” program would be good for all concerned or put us on the right side of history as they love to say.

Here is an idea. Let California become our “single-payer” test case. It is the only place in the U.S. where there are enough Democrats to pass it or not a single GOP vote that could stop it.    

Why not let Governor Brown, Senator Harris, and the rest of California lead the way and prove to us that it is the way of the future. 

According to an editorial in the Washington Post, the idea of universal care may turn out to be another one of those liberal dreams that always die when you calculate the potential costs. This is from the editorial:     

The single-payer model has some strong advantages. It is much simpler for most people — no more insurance forms or related hassles. Employers would no longer be mixed up in providing health-care benefits, and taxpayers would no longer subsidize that form of private compensation. Government experts could conduct research on treatments and use that information to directly cut costs across the system.

But the government’s price tag would be astonishing. When Sen. Bernie Sanders (I-Vt.) proposed a “Medicare for all” health plan in his presidential campaign, the nonpartisan Urban Institute figured that it would raise government spending by $32 trillion over 10 years, requiring a tax increase so huge that even the democratic socialist Mr. Sanders did not propose anything close to it.

The advocates of public health care always chastise private insurance companies and the “profit motive”. They overlook that public health care is not cheap at all, as the editorial goes on to say:   

The public piece of the American health-care system has not proven itself to be particularly cost-efficient. 

On a per capita basis, U.S. government health programs alone spend more than Canada, Australia, France, and Britain each do on their entire health systems. 

That means the U.S. government spends more per American to cover a slice of the population than other governments spend per citizen to cover all of theirs. 

Simply expanding Medicare to all would not automatically result in a radically more efficient health-care system. Something else would have to change.

Also, single-payer means very high taxes, certainly a lot higher than what President Obama (18%) and millionaire Senator Bernie Sanders paid in 2016. Ask a Canadian friend about their income taxes!

My idea will never happen because even California knows that it can’t afford a single-payer program. Or, John Myers wrote recently:  

Almost two of every three Californians in a new statewide poll said they like the idea of a single-payer, government healthcare system, but far fewer support the idea if it includes a tax increase.

We will probably never see universal health care in the U.S. The good news is that the numbers just don’t add up. The bad news is that we will have to hear about it in every election cycle. 

P.S. You can listen to my show (Canto Talk), (YouTube) and follow me on Twitter.


Written by scantojr

June 21, 2017 at 6:43 am